Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 1.087683 1.318075 1.610650 2.020183 2.597443 3.414497 4.726186
2025-03-23 0.799820 1.063298 1.450401 2.101299 3.269904 5.555723 11.477993
2025-03-30 0.638780 0.898375 1.316697 2.115305 3.846317 8.408669 29.768211
2025-04-06 0.529728 0.772784 1.189436 2.060012 4.245083 11.793395 88.637722
2025-04-13 0.456756 0.685278 1.096426 2.021395 4.663433 16.693418 509.165992
2025-04-20 0.423855 0.657092 1.101623 2.198337 5.930389 32.693000 NaN
2025-04-27 0.390908 0.621407 1.080960 2.303626 7.169732 66.321000 NaN
2025-05-04 0.356176 0.575937 1.027922 2.297187 7.997053 126.823648 NaN
2025-05-11 0.322554 0.527415 0.957489 2.210178 8.343072 220.505180 NaN
2025-05-18 0.302250 0.502062 0.934007 2.261247 9.691403 855.453598 NaN
2025-05-25 0.287897 0.486478 0.929835 2.377440 11.935047 296333.244206 NaN
2025-06-01 0.270048 0.461306 0.897245 2.378824 13.379696 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.249475 0.428666 0.841714 2.276887 13.684377 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 0.239464 0.417434 0.839249 2.389279 17.205069 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 0.227169 0.399824 0.816784 2.409420 19.901664 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 0.213446 0.377684 0.778493 2.343488 21.035144 NaN NaN
2025-07-06 0.201745 0.358966 0.746880 2.297186 22.616663 NaN NaN
2025-07-13 0.198353 0.358520 0.766248 2.510556 33.414064 NaN NaN
2025-07-20 0.192669 0.352201 0.767646 2.638214 45.720622 NaN NaN
2025-07-27 0.184335 0.338923 0.746244 2.630394 53.265064 NaN NaN
2025-08-03 0.174630 0.321667 0.710533 2.524893 53.887635 NaN NaN
2025-08-10 0.169135 0.313954 0.703032 2.586774 70.395425 NaN NaN
2025-08-17 0.165440 0.310202 0.707271 2.728013 108.945974 NaN NaN